TheEverstorm
0x60cdbacab150abb71f0a2d4973e4b6e13fa640ac
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $244.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.135 | $191.70 | −$324.70 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.038 | $38.50 | −$161.50 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.032 | $13.93 | −$173.19 |
| Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.99 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$209.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.208Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$885.72at 0.262US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$127.75at 0.489Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$123.04at 0.328Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 21:19 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | BUY | 0.37 | $36.50 |
| 08-19 12:04 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.43 | $48.26 |
| 03-17 19:16 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $176.40 |
| 03-16 18:38 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $340.00 |
| 03-16 18:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.155 | $232.50 |
| 03-14 23:01 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.13 |
| 03-12 16:09 | Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 03-02 14:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 23:39 | Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $29.23 |
| 02-27 15:00 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.5885758344 | $50.00 |
| 02-27 14:59 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.5946902654 | $56.00 |
| 02-27 14:07 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.2865131731 | $200.00 |
| 02-25 22:45 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $30.00 |
| 02-25 01:20 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 01:20 | Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |