0x60A7A34452628a45cB731f1Ab834A9d2b6d6296A-1784514827060
0x60a7a34452628a45cb731f1ab834a9d2b6d6296a
- Realised P&L
- $19.74
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $11.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.295 | $11.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.36at 0.359Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?
- +$8.71at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?
- +$5.05at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?
- +$4.03at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?
- +$3.84at 0.691Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.5855601876 | $33.71 |
| 09-25 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3473945384 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.02 |
| 09-25 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $11.00 |
| 09-25 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.75 | $34.72 |
| 09-24 23:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.57 |
| 09-24 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.67 |
| 09-24 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2623758372 | $14.00 |
| 09-24 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.3488627997 | $35.06 |
| 09-24 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2763157858 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.155 | $1.82 |
| 09-23 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |