Steve1818
0x60a32f71352159d2671ab79542863d6cdfa8378d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.1k
- Volume
- $879.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.104 | 0.055 | $14.3k | −$12.8k |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.037 | $725.18 | −$2.0k |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.030 | $0.30 | −$1.50 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$995.97 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.200US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.415US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$-26.84at 0.098H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-58.19at 0.041Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$-82.10at 0.104Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $3.93 |
| 10-29 16:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $1.70 |
| 10-28 12:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $3.70 |
| 10-26 15:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 14:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $4.50 |
| 10-21 15:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $227.00 |
| 10-21 15:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 11:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999962 | $1.90 |
| 10-20 12:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999977 | $2.72 |
| 10-19 16:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 03:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999977 | $1.93 |
| 10-17 13:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $2.49 |
| 10-16 20:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 20:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1 | $293.77 |
| 10-16 17:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1 | $2.72 |