Steve.Park
0x60a32f71352159d2671ab79542863d6cdfa8378d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.1k
- Volume
- $756.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.127 | 0.105 | $14.3k | −$3.1k |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.079 | $1.5k | −$1.2k |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.075 | $0.75 | −$1.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$995.97 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.200US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.415US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$-26.84at 0.098H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-58.19at 0.041Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$-82.10at 0.104Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $2.61 |
| 09-15 10:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.129999992 | $1.47 |
| 09-14 13:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1299999978 | $2.94 |
| 09-12 02:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $4.27 |
| 09-11 17:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $86.83 |
| 09-11 17:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $1.0k |
| 09-11 17:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $1.0k |
| 09-11 14:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $59.99 |
| 09-11 03:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-10 17:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1499999977 | $6.47 |
| 09-10 17:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.15 | $25.05 |
| 09-10 17:44 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $27.13 |
| 09-10 11:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399999959 | $1.36 |
| 09-10 11:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399805913 | $164.44 |
| 09-10 11:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $200.00 |