PolyBot

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Traders

HarpoonSignals

0x6086b18f3f8d4f4579a7627d97ea1a4984e8a5f9

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$348.1k
Markets traded
4,624
Open portfolio
$454.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,624
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9970.998$100.10+$0.10
Will Grüne win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9980.998$100.00+$0.00
Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9970.996$99.85$0.15
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9970.980$98.25$1.75
Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9990.966$56.00$1.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:22Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.997$100.00
09-21 14:21Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.997$100.00
09-21 14:09Will Grüne win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.998$100.00
09-21 14:01Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.999$57.91
09-21 14:00Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9969355979$100.00
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Hell" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.998$21.46
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Power" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.9763720834$94.57
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Security" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.7288399636$48.00
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.8969995105$36.65
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Hell" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.998$21.46
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Worm" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.99$30.55
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.9752119619$59.35
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.99$20.54
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "White House" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.9763720834$94.57
09-21 03:31Will anyone say "Monster" during President Curtis E9 S1?BUY0.998$46.40