PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cipher316

0x6080174f710299900f9d5689ec12ef7a1100a02a

Realised P&L
$-35.80
Volume
$567.48
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1400.065$2.55$2.95
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0620.026$2.08$2.80
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.044$1.75$3.36
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.029$0.54$0.96
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$4.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$5.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.50
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$4.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 14:13Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.50
03-31 15:22H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.14$5.50
03-31 12:01Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.29$5.50
03-31 08:06Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3599999376$3.00
03-31 08:04Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$5.11
03-31 08:03Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0334160727$4.59
03-30 13:21Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?BUY0.099$5.45
03-30 12:57Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?BUY0.0620957108$4.88
03-30 11:27Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?BUY0.0349636364$4.81
03-28 17:32Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$1.00
03-28 12:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.25$1.00
03-28 12:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.7489998959$1.00
03-28 11:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.9$3.98
03-28 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.2599998648$0.98
03-28 11:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4599997608$0.97