PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

io3

0x607e2dcd504571fac32ba2c78cfa6756ec9d4011

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$40.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.7630.945$792.41+$152.37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.5690.315$553.74$446.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.4201.000$238.10+$138.10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.945$107.39+$7.39
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0560.026$69.82$80.18
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1200.031$25.83$74.17
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2900.000$0.00$100.00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$100.00
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$10.00
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.4820.000$0.00$4.0k
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$20.00
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$200.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 10:57Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.0849999874$6.00
02-11 19:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.77$1.1k
02-11 19:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5699999998$1000.00
02-11 19:46Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.142104529$100.00
02-11 19:42Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
02-11 19:41Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0519490815$100.00
02-06 17:50NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?SELL0.9342815532$1.1k
01-25 05:57Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?BUY0.7699999816$2.93
01-20 19:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.6$3.00
01-04 04:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.9549999997$1.1k
01-04 04:29U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?BUY0.7219920736$200.00
01-01 09:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.96$605.00
01-01 09:24Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?BUY0.10298343$100.00
01-01 09:23NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999996$1000.00
01-01 09:21Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.119999999$100.00
Trader io3 · PolyBot Pro