io3
0x607e2dcd504571fac32ba2c78cfa6756ec9d4011
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.035Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$832.41at 0.569Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$375.85at 0.650Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$207.55at 0.828Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
- +$158.42at 0.166Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 10:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0849999874 | $6.00 |
| 02-11 19:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.1k |
| 02-11 19:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $1000.00 |
| 02-11 19:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.142104529 | $100.00 |
| 02-11 19:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 02-11 19:41 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0519490815 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 17:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9342815532 | $1.1k |
| 01-25 05:57 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.7699999816 | $2.93 |
| 01-20 19:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 01-04 04:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999997 | $1.1k |
| 01-04 04:29 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7219920736 | $200.00 |
| 01-01 09:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $605.00 |
| 01-01 09:24 | Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | BUY | 0.10298343 | $100.00 |
| 01-01 09:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999996 | $1000.00 |
| 01-01 09:21 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |