Elaineds
0x607bab17b6850f766f72858e3f897e520aced60f
- Realised P&L
- $-35.78
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? · No | 0.998 | 0.956 | $5.74 | −$0.26 |
| Bulls vs. Bucks · Bulls | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.78at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 24?
- +$3.75at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 2?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 8 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-20 07:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.58 |
| 06-10 07:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-10 06:55 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.29 |
| 05-27 01:55 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999997 | $10.30 |
| 04-23 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.54 |
| 04-14 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.49 |
| 03-14 06:57 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.97 |
| 02-28 06:10 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.96 |
| 02-09 08:53 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $340.49 |
| 02-09 06:25 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $340.83 |
| 02-09 05:16 | Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $359.38 |
| 02-09 02:09 | Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $359.74 |
| 02-08 08:58 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $355.24 |