NoKingDon
0x607b21f39798eea1f7eb7385f0d42c45433a8e5a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $767.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $182.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.040 | $182.48 | −$47.55 |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.00 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.34at 0.912Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$-110.00at 0.011Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
- +$-169.88at 0.010Netanyahu out by April 30?
- +$-2.6kat 0.009Trump out as President by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 00:02 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |
| 06-23 00:00 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 06-22 13:53 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 05-05 16:35 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.022 | $44.00 |
| 04-27 14:37 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $321.06 |
| 04-27 14:37 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 12:52 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 04-26 07:03 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 13:18 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $90.00 |
| 04-18 08:55 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $120.00 |
| 04-14 15:40 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $60.00 |
| 04-14 12:42 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $124.56 |
| 04-13 15:11 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $283.08 |
| 04-13 14:06 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $220.00 |
| 04-12 10:09 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.11 |