yizhongtian
0x6074557e6760ac09fe8395629e6b02d96277c273
- Realised P&L
- $-4.47
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $14.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $11.58 | −$0.02 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.979 | $1.33 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.645 | $1.31 | −$0.11 |
| Hurricanes vs. Capitals · Capitals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.47 |
| Plovdiv 4: Daniel Galan vs Calvin Hemery · Daniel Galan | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.66 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 29? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?
- +$0.35at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$0.35at 0.998Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$0.34at 0.998Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:07 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.60 |
| 10-18 10:05 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999998028 | $1.42 |
| 09-21 14:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999721 | $13.00 |
| 09-21 13:55 | Plovdiv 4: Daniel Galan vs Calvin Hemery | BUY | 0.83 | $1.66 |
| 08-26 13:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9969999857 | $14.60 |
| 07-23 06:04 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.60 |
| 06-09 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on June 11? | BUY | 0.9984893185 | $172.00 |
| 06-09 10:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 08:47 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | BUY | 0.9989995015 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 08:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9989999949 | $164.00 |
| 05-27 06:45 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.991999508 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 06:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 05-27 06:44 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.9829999877 | $1.20 |
| 05-27 06:44 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.10 |
| 05-27 06:44 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.9869996758 | $1.30 |