0x606Ecab785385d79cfa0854c91BD772cD7dc1fa6-1779919535195
0x606ecab785385d79cfa0854c91bd772cd7dc1fa6
- Realised P&L
- $16.61
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $36.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.58at 0.045Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.58at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$99.00at 0.266Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
- +$67.44at 0.133Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$64.45at 0.165Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:40 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 22:32 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.073 | $9.98 |
| 09-04 18:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.487 | $14.52 |
| 09-04 18:02 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.34 | $21.92 |
| 09-03 16:08 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 17:00 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0449999861 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 16:36 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.3615046315 | $20.00 |
| 09-02 14:56 | Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.39 |
| 09-02 14:56 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 22:16 | US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 22:03 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8199999883 | $35.00 |
| 09-01 13:38 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.24 |
| 09-01 13:38 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 13:38 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 06:58 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.018602 | $1.86 |