0x606Ecab785385d79cfa0854c91BD772cD7dc1fa6-1779919535195
0x606ecab785385d79cfa0854c91bd772cd7dc1fa6
- Realised P&L
- $129.74
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $286.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.05at 0.043Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$127.90at 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$65.39at 0.160Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$50.56at 0.090Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?
- +$47.61at 0.100Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:32 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:32 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:32 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:30 | Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.54 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3788331717 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 01:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-01 16:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $18.78 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 16:03 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:03 | Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1899999831 | $9.00 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2048780236 | $6.00 |