TheGrylls
0x606e9e9260ce28fed70a4ae0c7319e7b5e1502e7
- Realised P&L
- $-62.06
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $14.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.73at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$9.42at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$8.37at 0.089Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$7.95at 0.131Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$7.63at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:34 | Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 22:33 | Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 22:33 | Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 22:32 | Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 22:32 | Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 03-20 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999709 | $3.09 |
| 03-20 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2669998946 | $1.50 |
| 03-20 15:26 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.81 |
| 03-20 15:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.714 | $2.86 |
| 03-13 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.1669999431 | $1.98 |
| 03-08 23:20 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.1890030721 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 23:21 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 20:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.20 |
| 03-06 13:01 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3499998542 | $1.20 |
| 03-05 18:53 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.842 | $5.41 |