PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheGrylls

0x606e9e9260ce28fed70a4ae0c7319e7b5e1502e7

Realised P&L
$-62.06
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$14.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Yes0.3500.430$3.69+$0.69
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.4200.385$2.75$0.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1200.110$2.75$0.25
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.3500.315$2.70$0.30
Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? · Yes0.2700.240$2.67$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.3680.000$0.00$1.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.5960.000$0.00$2.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.5390.000$0.00$10.89
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up0.3520.000$0.00$1.65
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 · Under0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26? · No0.1190.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:34Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.4199999496$3.00
09-14 22:33Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-14 22:33Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
09-14 22:32Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-14 22:32Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.12$3.00
03-20 15:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.6599999709$3.09
03-20 15:26Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?BUY0.2669998946$1.50
03-20 15:26MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?SELL0.53$1.81
03-20 15:26Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.714$2.86
03-13 17:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?BUY0.1669999431$1.98
03-08 23:20US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.1890030721$1.00
03-06 23:21US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
03-06 20:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.55$2.20
03-06 13:01MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?BUY0.3499998542$1.20
03-05 18:53Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.842$5.41