0x606ac3e7a28f3728e8db55b51b184487d410ae21
0x606ac3e7a28f3728e8db55b51b184487d410ae21
- Realised P&L
- $-13.43
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $41.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.496 | 1.000 | $20.43 | +$10.29 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.569 | $11.90 | +$6.90 |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.545 | $4.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.135 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.051 | $0.72 | −$4.28 |
| Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.035 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.43at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.62at 0.239Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.26at 0.175Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
- +$22.91at 0.690Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
- +$16.60at 0.236Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:05 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2964426819 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 02:38 | Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0919999934 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:22 | Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0879999951 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:25 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:24 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0445756399 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:18 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:14 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:07 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2149999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:03 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2389999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:37 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:36 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 15:51 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 15:06 | Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1239998934 | $1.00 |