DemiMole
0x6061bb20d1a4fdb79b24d6d43297618176996813
- Realised P&L
- $93.60
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $174.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.35at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$53.35at 0.055Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$38.57at 0.702Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
- +$38.26at 0.096Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$22.80at 0.280Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 13:04 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0432110988 | $8.58 |
| 07-20 12:37 | Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $39.59 |
| 07-08 16:13 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0389510708 | $4.86 |
| 07-08 15:56 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 06-26 03:56 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 19:21 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.553478125 | $17.71 |
| 06-24 20:18 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.17 |
| 06-21 23:31 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 02:15 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0417704025 | $15.00 |
| 06-19 20:32 | Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 20:18 | Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 02:35 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 06-17 13:33 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $62.05 |
| 06-17 01:47 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.0923935399 | $61.96 |
| 06-12 13:13 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.0498939753 | $24.00 |