nuwsuy
0x604bc886d19d69cd099fcbdbda8827a53e1f67b5
- Realised P&L
- $-123.23
- Volume
- $336.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,048
- Open portfolio
- $54.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.976 | 0.961 | $6.46 | −$0.10 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 11? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 9? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $4.98 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 12? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.993 | $4.96 | +$0.00 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.800 | $4.00 | −$0.80 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.942 | 0.796 | $3.98 | −$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.790Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
- +$18.75at 0.840Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$12.00at 0.130Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?
- +$11.62at 0.998Solana above $190 on January 17?
- +$6.51at 0.430Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-09 15:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-09 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-09 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 10-09 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 15:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-09 15:53 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-09 15:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $145 on October 9? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-06 09:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 09:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-19 13:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |