yanzai
0x6048f4684ee3689249cbe86026eb50b785181701
- Realised P&L
- $-183.32
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $19.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.195 | $19.50 | −$14.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.907Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$1.20at 0.108Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$0.60at 0.949US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.050US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.680Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:47 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.27 |
| 10-03 20:14 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.31 |
| 10-03 20:02 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 10-03 17:18 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $16.92 |
| 10-03 04:04 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-03 04:04 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-02 16:43 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $25.36 |
| 10-02 10:49 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.7950351667 | $477.02 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.36823 | $73.65 |
| 09-30 10:27 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $55.13 |
| 09-30 09:26 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.87 |
| 09-30 00:59 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.638275 | $127.66 |
| 09-30 00:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.581 | $348.60 |
| 09-29 18:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $366.00 |
| 09-29 06:12 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.685 | $68.50 |