PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yanzai

0x6048f4684ee3689249cbe86026eb50b785181701

Realised P&L
$-183.32
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$19.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.3400.195$19.50−$14.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:47Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$0.27
10-03 20:14Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$8.31
10-03 20:02Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$8.50
10-03 17:18Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$16.92
10-03 04:04Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?SELL0.76$76.00
10-03 04:04Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?SELL0.76$76.00
10-02 16:43Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.964$25.36
10-02 10:49Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.7950351667$477.02
10-01 05:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36823$73.65
09-30 10:27Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.37$55.13
09-30 09:26Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.37$18.87
09-30 00:59Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.638275$127.66
09-30 00:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.581$348.60
09-29 18:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.61$366.00
09-29 06:12Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.685$68.50