PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CosmosK

0x6046b995f63e1dde0b07f9291d20bcdd225444e2

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$41.7k
Markets traded
3,330
Open portfolio
$69.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.6300.998$15.83+$5.83
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.6600.988$14.96+$4.96
Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.6900.998$14.46+$4.46
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.7000.993$14.19+$4.19
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.8400.855$10.18+$0.18
Will PAOK Thessaloniki win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.8100.001$0.01−$9.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$2.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$2.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00−$3.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$2.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$2.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.7200.000$0.00−$3.60
Will VV Ijsselmeervogels win on 2026-09-23? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:00Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
10-12 16:45Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
10-12 16:45Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
10-12 16:45Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-12 16:15Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-12 14:44Will PAOK Thessaloniki win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
10-11 22:45Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-11 22:45Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
10-11 21:45Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-11 21:16Will Caracas FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
10-11 21:15Will LDU Quito win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-11 20:15Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-11 18:45Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-11 18:30Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-09 17:31Will Sweden win on 2026-10-09?SELL0.999$10.19