Hellboy-winner
0x604564c35ff5d742814894ad557464ca3afb7304
- Realised P&L
- $538.97
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.86at 0.190Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$260.86at 0.931Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$218.33at 0.129Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$73.81at 0.936US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$59.68at 0.939Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.627 | $50.16 |
| 08-05 22:49 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.981 | $11.27 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $7.46 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $6.08 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $20.62 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $30.28 |
| 08-05 22:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.979 | $12.33 |
| 08-05 21:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 14:38 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $58.80 |
| 08-05 14:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.562 | $56.20 |
| 08-05 08:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-05 06:41 | Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $55.46 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $40.14 |
| 08-04 14:59 | Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 14:59 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $9.61 |