PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hellboy-winner

0x604564c35ff5d742814894ad557464ca3afb7304

Realised P&L
$731.60
Volume
$82.2k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:08Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
10-04 10:08Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$67.18
10-04 09:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?BUY0.985$295.50
10-04 09:54Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$126.00
10-04 09:53Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.891$89.09
10-03 21:32Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$42.00
10-03 21:27Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.3$30.00
10-03 21:27Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.25$25.00
10-03 21:26Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.217$21.70
10-03 08:59Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$264.00
10-03 08:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.92$184.00
10-03 08:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.93$93.00
10-03 08:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.93$186.00
10-03 07:42Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?SELL0.16$16.00
10-02 15:01Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9903499729$42.00