Hellboy-winner
0x604564c35ff5d742814894ad557464ca3afb7304
- Realised P&L
- $731.60
- Volume
- $82.2k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$837.53at 0.197Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$259.30at 0.932Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$186.82at 0.134Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$73.81at 0.936US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$72.54at 0.938US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:08 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 10-04 10:08 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $67.18 |
| 10-04 09:57 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BUY | 0.985 | $295.50 |
| 10-04 09:54 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $126.00 |
| 10-04 09:53 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.891 | $89.09 |
| 10-03 21:32 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 10-03 21:27 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 21:27 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 21:26 | Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.217 | $21.70 |
| 10-03 08:59 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $264.00 |
| 10-03 08:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-03 08:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-03 08:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 10-03 07:42 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-02 15:01 | Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9903499729 | $42.00 |