0x60424cb64d127c272f0232bbc5fa719fce39ae17
- Realised P&L
- $1.30
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $14.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.008 | $5.33 | +$3.33 |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $4.67 | −$4.67 |
| Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.005 | $3.67 | +$1.67 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$1.25 |
| Spread: Uzbekistan (-4.5) · Uzbekistan | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.87at 0.127Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.29at 0.169Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.09at 0.920Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
- +$0.01at 0.989Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:34 | Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.35 |
| 07-10 05:38 | Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 22:41 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 21:53 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 18:26 | Spread: Uzbekistan (-4.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 17:37 | Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 21:37 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 20:17 | Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 20:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 05-29 09:45 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.111 | $0.96 |
| 05-15 07:04 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.218 | $1.29 |
| 05-11 13:35 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 13:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1149999005 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 13:34 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0889999114 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 13:34 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1269999012 | $1.00 |