PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x60424cb64d127c272f0232bbc5fa719fce39ae17

Realised P&L
$1.30
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$14.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.008$5.33+$3.33
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$4.67$4.67
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.005$3.67+$1.67
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$0.75$1.25
Spread: Uzbekistan (-4.5) · Uzbekistan0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 09:34Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$9.35
07-10 05:38Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.0029999985$2.00
06-24 22:41Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$1.00
06-24 21:53Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.92$1.00
06-23 18:26Spread: Uzbekistan (-4.5)BUY0.001$1.00
06-23 17:37Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.0029999985$2.00
06-22 21:37Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$2.00
06-22 20:17Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
06-22 20:12Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.003$2.00
05-29 09:45Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.111$0.96
05-15 07:04Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.218$1.29
05-11 13:35Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.048999954$1.00
05-11 13:34Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1149999005$1.00
05-11 13:34Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0889999114$1.00
05-11 13:34Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1269999012$1.00