SpecialOne1
0x6041df5492cc90409c5c6458ae289581c8bbb027
- Realised P&L
- $-194.50
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.43at 0.014Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?
- +$98.58at 0.103Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?
- +$88.89at 0.110Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?
- +$80.69at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?
- +$80.12at 0.229Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.31 |
| 10-11 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.25 | $26.90 |
| 10-11 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.76 |
| 10-11 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.08 |
| 10-11 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.76 |
| 10-10 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.68 |
| 10-09 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 10-08 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $58.76 |
| 10-07 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.94 |
| 10-07 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.20 |
| 10-07 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.95 |
| 10-07 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-07 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.12 |
| 10-07 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 10-06 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |