PolyBot

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Traders

SpecialOne1

0x6041df5492cc90409c5c6458ae289581c8bbb027

Realised P&L
$-194.50
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
327
Open portfolio
$0.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded327
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? · Yes0.0100.001$0.07−$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner · FUT Esports0.3500.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 26? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$4.70
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 27? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 2? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$7.82
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$13.70
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$9.28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 21? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 29? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 2? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 8? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.49
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$11.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:44Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?BUY0.01$1.31
10-11 12:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?SELL0.25$26.90
10-11 12:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?BUY0.32$3.76
10-11 12:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?BUY0.32$6.08
10-11 12:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?BUY0.32$5.76
10-10 23:14Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?BUY0.31$8.68
10-09 07:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 9?BUY0.003$1.20
10-08 20:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?SELL0.998$58.76
10-07 20:54Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?SELL0.19$4.94
10-07 20:52Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.2$5.20
10-07 16:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.029$0.95
10-07 16:03Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?BUY0.18$0.90
10-07 15:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.04$1.12
10-07 15:44Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.04$0.80
10-06 18:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 6?SELL0.999$14.98