Mirror.
0x60416994417ef69dacbcc0d1c3043961e4b50432
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $126.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $237.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.280 | $237.86 | −$5.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.073Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$455.49at 0.722Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
- +$371.04at 0.285Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$247.56at 0.681Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$212.05at 0.266Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:22 | Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.2792546725 | $172.35 |
| 09-25 10:55 | Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.3050734581 | $70.87 |
| 09-08 17:32 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $414.73 |
| 09-08 17:31 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.1182876214 | $17.90 |
| 08-30 14:27 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.8246340778 | $590.46 |
| 08-29 10:45 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.6331114123 | $585.81 |
| 08-29 10:44 | Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | SELL | 0.9650973541 | $593.81 |
| 08-13 22:00 | Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | BUY | 0.798919793 | $491.56 |
| 08-13 17:45 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.8629017979 | $400.00 |
| 08-13 17:44 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $83.78 |
| 08-12 16:45 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.789999991 | $40.20 |
| 08-10 23:16 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.6636326781 | $90.00 |
| 08-10 10:36 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999996 | $33.29 |
| 08-10 10:18 | Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.6356063468 | $70.00 |
| 08-05 21:23 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.3769380261 | $789.41 |