Justin698
0x603ac6e9fd27ce6b791e2724db65ba31b6fcfa61
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $151.6k
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $208.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.645 | 0.435 | $208.49 | −$100.51 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.230Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$949.20at 0.440Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
- +$854.97at 0.520Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
- +$482.22at 0.410Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$440.00at 0.890Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5319261169 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6464088362 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6437414021 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-28 08:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.8797360782 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.879999998 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.889999999 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $36.96 |
| 09-28 08:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3494393726 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7967907041 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7977839335 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.748959778 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7422537571 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7279778363 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 08:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7190013821 | $36.00 |