peacejuice0110
0x6038b8a0f4f6662e15dbdeec28a29ec81d94a421
- Realised P&L
- $-404.19
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.38at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?
- +$34.28at 0.856Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?
- +$27.21at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
- +$25.77at 0.970Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?
- +$20.84at 0.891Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.98 | $52.88 |
| 10-06 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.829999997 | $44.79 |
| 10-06 15:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.1589240171 | $39.01 |
| 10-06 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-06 15:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $233.18 |
| 10-02 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.9 | $79.41 |
| 10-02 12:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-01 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-30 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.6753882979 | $63.49 |
| 09-30 12:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-29 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-29 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-28 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-26 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 09-24 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.7225999 | $72.26 |