0x6030Ff7a1dd5e0cf7F9749bD713EEdA928bFD09c-1767624305373
0x6030ff7a1dd5e0cf7f9749bd713eeda928bfd09c
- Realised P&L
- $-142.12
- Volume
- $97.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$545.46at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
- +$194.34at 0.122Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$11.81at 0.092Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$7.23at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$7.19at 0.964Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 02:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.0284261795 | $6.44 |
| 10-11 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $3.03 |
| 10-10 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2307692272 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 14:44 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.19 |
| 04-22 18:08 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1317555516 | $86.99 |
| 04-22 17:56 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.48 |
| 04-22 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026? | BUY | 0.0359557607 | $45.00 |
| 04-22 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $8.86 |
| 02-26 20:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get 40.0 million or more views on day 6? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.30 |
| 02-26 20:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $170.00 |
| 02-26 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.17 |
| 02-26 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $9.76 |
| 02-26 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $10.40 |