antonmartu
0x602fe8740b8924dcd12dd8ad3a2140e7498d33d4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $176.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.610 | $44.85 | +$19.85 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.945 | $33.53 | +$0.53 |
| Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $32.97 | +$2.97 |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $22.22 | +$2.22 |
| Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.976 | $21.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.965 | $21.10 | +$0.10 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · No | 0.973 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.82at 0.330Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?
- +$46.00at 0.540Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?
- +$43.04at 0.700Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
- +$34.03at 0.540Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$33.67at 0.278Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 07:52 | Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-16 07:51 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $33.00 |
| 08-16 07:47 | Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999936 | $30.00 |
| 08-16 07:43 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 08-16 07:41 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $21.00 |
| 08-03 17:03 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? | BUY | 0.9000998976 | $20.00 |
| 05-10 06:24 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.00 |
| 04-03 08:25 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9409036574 | $40.08 |
| 04-03 08:13 | Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 04-03 07:57 | Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 04-03 07:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 07:54 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 07:53 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999904 | $40.00 |
| 03-03 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9916554082 | $33.06 |
| 03-03 08:49 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999672 | $25.00 |