lpcapital1
0x602785cdf56a03221130d3d42a577ac6cf444320
- Realised P&L
- $-137.3k
- Volume
- $5.67M
- Markets traded
- 4,236
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,236
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.355 | $1.4k | −$460.87 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.470 | 1.000 | $1.4k | +$722.09 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.530 | 1.000 | $498.56 | +$234.32 |
| Cam Schlittler: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.430 | 1.000 | $461.10 | +$262.83 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.530 | 0.595 | $383.68 | +$42.09 |
| Michael King: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.435 | 1.000 | $337.68 | +$190.86 |
| Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty · New York Liberty | 0.770 | 1.000 | $321.09 | +$73.85 |
| Michael McGreevy: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.560 | 1.000 | $302.00 | +$132.88 |
| Cal Quantrill: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.514 | 1.000 | $175.00 | +$84.98 |
| Logan Webb: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.588 | 1.000 | $122.10 | +$50.29 |
| Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5) · Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 0.830 | 0.785 | $117.75 | −$6.75 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5 · Over | 0.492 | 1.000 | $103.48 | +$52.56 |
| Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.190 | 1.000 | $77.03 | +$62.39 |
| Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.248 | 1.000 | $70.34 | +$52.92 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.370 | 1.000 | $61.38 | +$38.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.310Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$16.6kat 0.540Spread: Dayton Flyers (-6.5)
- +$14.7kat 0.470Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)
- +$13.8kat 0.540Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
- +$12.1kat 0.547Islanders vs. Blues
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:16 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $640.35 |
| 08-03 23:33 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $17.52 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.53 | $3.98 |
| 08-03 22:19 | Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $14.45 |
| 08-03 22:16 | Cal Quantrill: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5143748571 | $90.02 |
| 08-03 22:05 | Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1133479503 | $17.06 |
| 08-03 22:00 | Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $14.94 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Michael King: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $15.94 |
| 08-03 21:46 | Michael King: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $37.54 |
| 08-03 21:45 | Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2476187091 | $17.42 |
| 08-03 21:33 | Michael King: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $31.71 |
| 08-03 21:27 | Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $20.25 |
| 08-03 21:15 | Michael McGreevy: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $127.12 |
| 08-03 20:48 | Logan Webb: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $16.88 |
| 08-03 20:31 | Brandon Pfaadt: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $10.97 |