PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

drfthdft

0x6002bc8e224a0e59b183f1ff467eca6cfaf53407

Realised P&L
$932.76
Volume
$98.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$536.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9561.000$400.00+$17.60
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0760.052$136.50$61.10
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.3k
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22? · Down0.0540.000$0.00$89.48
Penguins vs. Sabres · Sabres0.2400.000$0.00$36.00
Mavericks vs. Bulls · Mavericks0.5000.000$0.00$645.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 06:24Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.076$197.60
06-25 08:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.956$382.40
05-19 09:45Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.9$324.00
05-11 03:26Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.053$106.00
04-25 02:18Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.69$679.93
04-23 01:40Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.692$830.40
04-11 06:52Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.69$1.0k
04-11 06:42Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.69$1.4k
04-11 06:35Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.69$596.95
04-11 06:29Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.83488$20.87
03-26 01:45Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.91$591.50
03-15 06:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.154$199.61
03-09 07:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.846$426.75
03-09 07:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.846$668.34
02-06 02:20Penguins vs. SabresBUY0.24$36.00