drfthdft
0x6002bc8e224a0e59b183f1ff467eca6cfaf53407
- Realised P&L
- $932.76
- Volume
- $98.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $536.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No | 0.956 | 1.000 | $400.00 | +$17.60 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.052 | $136.50 | −$61.10 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 22? · Down | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.48 |
| Penguins vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Bulls · Mavericks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$645.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.480XRP Up or Down on January 11?
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$855.00at 0.500Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$103.20at 0.500Mavericks vs. Bulls
- +$14.63at 0.500Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 06:24 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.076 | $197.60 |
| 06-25 08:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.956 | $382.40 |
| 05-19 09:45 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $324.00 |
| 05-11 03:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.053 | $106.00 |
| 04-25 02:18 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.69 | $679.93 |
| 04-23 01:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.692 | $830.40 |
| 04-11 06:52 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.0k |
| 04-11 06:42 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.4k |
| 04-11 06:35 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.69 | $596.95 |
| 04-11 06:29 | Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83488 | $20.87 |
| 03-26 01:45 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $591.50 |
| 03-15 06:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.154 | $199.61 |
| 03-09 07:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.846 | $426.75 |
| 03-09 07:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.846 | $668.34 |
| 02-06 02:20 | Penguins vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.24 | $36.00 |