0x5ff4593a37c624998ac85b83f51dcf8a502116a4
0x5ff4593a37c624998ac85b83f51dcf8a502116a4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.85
- Volume
- $228.80
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.665 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.525 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.350US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:04 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:03 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:24 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:51 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |