samssson
0x5fef29839f0665ce38e48cdba1dc141de25e194b
- Realised P&L
- $-176.06
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $16.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.175 | $6.48 | −$3.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.365 | $5.11 | +$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.270 | $4.59 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.30at 0.742Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?
- +$15.53at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
- +$7.99at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?
- +$5.27at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?
- +$2.64at 0.916Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-04 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-29 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-27 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 09-21 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-21 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.32 |
| 09-17 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 09-17 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.096 | $4.80 |
| 09-01 13:29 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | BUY | 0.0810275962 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.4641193767 | $15.78 |