Flavio2026
0x5fe949ecefd533fb8f21be5f18a9baa41e027c50
- Realised P&L
- $-9.67
- Volume
- $478.15
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.991 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? · Yes | 0.922 | 0.977 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? · No | 0.958 | 0.970 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-1.02at 0.165Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-8.65at 0.050Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:22 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? | BUY | 0.9219997437 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 01:13 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:15 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.9849999286 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 10-05 00:44 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.9989999012 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 22:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.0205670631 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 21:51 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.0579999999 | $7.50 |
| 10-04 21:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 10-04 21:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |