0x5fe643f0eedd6d67c4ad46e41041f032fd26decf
- Realised P&L
- $-67.71
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $25.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.042 | $15.59 | −$4.40 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $9.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.63at 0.577Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$5.97at 0.770Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$4.87at 0.765Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$4.76at 0.770Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.62at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 21:48 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2599999459 | $2.98 |
| 07-03 21:35 | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 20:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $9.00 |
| 07-03 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 21:59 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5774999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 16:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.764999994 | $15.86 |
| 07-02 11:02 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1597784288 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 08:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 19:18 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999928 | $15.94 |
| 06-30 19:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $15.60 |
| 06-30 16:56 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2599999584 | $4.00 |