Christopher313
0x5fde4392a332ec1d0601e1a5089c46611f4144bc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.52
- Volume
- $192.00
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $12.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.03at 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$0.93at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$0.82at 0.550US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Tesla reach $430 in Nov 25-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:10 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999399 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 12:09 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:08 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:06 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:06 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:05 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 11:53 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 11:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.02 |
| 06-13 11:52 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.77 |
| 03-04 17:33 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $0.98 |