PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DSR4

0x5fddfcd6d5a2749f93afe920bcd8bd16a7d97818

Realised P&L
$-29.06
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$68.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · No0.9940.996$67.10+$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.998$1.12+$0.02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1? · No0.9960.000$0.00−$15.12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.35
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 05:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9939999935$67.00
09-08 03:14Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?BUY0.999$67.00
08-26 09:26Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.9989999861$67.00
08-04 05:32Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 August 3-9?BUY0.999$23.00
08-04 05:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7?BUY0.999$22.00
08-04 05:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5?BUY0.9979999604$21.00
07-22 06:19Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-22 06:18Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.975$6.00
07-22 06:18Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9939999993$6.00
07-22 06:18Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.997$5.00
07-22 06:18Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-22 06:18Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9819999996$5.00
07-22 06:17Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
07-22 06:17Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-22 06:17Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00