PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5fd971a5ca4e4da284140cbec4d50aa0b2c7332b

Realised P&L
$-6.32
Volume
$353.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$62.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7740.920$18.40+$2.91
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9500.977$7.81+$0.21
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4230.305$7.32$2.84
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9200.905$7.24$0.12
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8200.905$7.24+$0.68
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.930$6.51+$0.70
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9650.972$4.86+$0.03
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4600.095$1.80$6.93
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2260.080$0.96$1.75
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$0.39$0.75
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1200.043$0.38$0.70
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$1.46
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · No0.4000.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 07:21Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.92$7.36
06-21 19:25Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.82$6.56
06-17 03:16Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$5.81
06-12 07:00Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.14
06-09 09:38Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.95$7.60
06-07 16:32Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.21
06-05 02:23Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.965$4.83
04-22 22:44Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.62$3.72
04-22 22:44Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.38$3.42
04-22 22:43Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.92$7.36
04-22 22:43Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.247$2.47
04-22 22:43Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.754$13.57
04-20 02:16Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.78$7.02
04-20 02:15Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
04-16 05:22U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.12$1.08