0x5fd971a5ca4e4da284140cbec4d50aa0b2c7332b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.32
- Volume
- $353.00
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $62.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.754Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.33at 0.110Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.920Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 07:21 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 06-21 19:25 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 06-17 03:16 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.81 |
| 06-12 07:00 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-09 09:38 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 06-07 16:32 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 06-05 02:23 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 04-22 22:44 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 04-22 22:44 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.42 |
| 04-22 22:43 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 04-22 22:43 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.247 | $2.47 |
| 04-22 22:43 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.754 | $13.57 |
| 04-20 02:16 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.02 |
| 04-20 02:15 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 04-16 05:22 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |