kkd77
0x5fd831a2d3892981b2a253c88c793f4b0378fd19
- Realised P&L
- $-73.64
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 805
- Open portfolio
- $37.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded805
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.18at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$25.44at 0.174Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics
- +$24.38at 0.200Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$21.61at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$18.80at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.48 |
| 08-04 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.25 |
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.73 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.52 |
| 08-04 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.39 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.16 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.26 |
| 08-04 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 08-03 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.41 |
| 08-03 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.31 |