kkd77
0x5fd831a2d3892981b2a253c88c793f4b0378fd19
- Realised P&L
- $495.41
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,024
- Open portfolio
- $78.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,024
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.17at 0.179Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics
- +$53.96at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16?
- +$52.33at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?
- +$52.30at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?
- +$52.08at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.76 |
| 09-18 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.07 |
| 09-18 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.29 |
| 09-18 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.68 |
| 09-18 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.98 |
| 09-18 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.25 |
| 09-18 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.31 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.11 |
| 09-17 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.21 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.89 | $3.86 |
| 09-17 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.41 |
| 09-17 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.31 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.40 |