PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kkd77

0x5fd831a2d3892981b2a253c88c793f4b0378fd19

Realised P&L
$495.41
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
1,024
Open portfolio
$78.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,024
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration79.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? · Yes0.2300.375$18.00+$6.96
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.3100.445$17.03+$5.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.3100.315$13.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.2100.185$11.45$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.1700.165$9.07$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.1900.545$5.74+$3.74
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20? · Yes0.2400.265$4.07+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.1700.001$0.04$12.32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 16? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$13.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 16? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$12.11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$9.30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$13.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.38$0.76
09-18 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.19$2.00
09-18 20:29Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.17$5.07
09-18 19:53Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?SELL0.3$0.29
09-18 19:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.41$0.68
09-18 14:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.24$1.20
09-18 12:50Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?SELL0.38$0.98
09-18 07:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.21$2.25
09-18 01:22Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.31$13.00
09-17 23:25Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.23$8.11
09-17 18:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.999$21.21
09-17 15:05Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.89$3.86
09-17 15:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.87$7.41
09-17 14:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.31$13.00
09-17 10:09Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.27$0.40