PolyBot

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Traders

User983

0x5fd5fb75eb3508531a4e9cc28642fdf84cd4382c

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$101.7k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$38.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes0.1200.165$16.50+$4.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? · No0.0400.015$15.00−$24.96
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$4.50−$3.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · No0.0290.001$1.00−$27.54
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026? · Yes0.0320.009$0.95−$2.25
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? · Yes0.0800.043$0.92−$0.82
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$41.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$50.00
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$17.76
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00−$315.98
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$37.50
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$11.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$171.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$815.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 02:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.02853756$28.54
10-07 02:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.039964$39.96
09-22 01:11Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?SELL0.013$0.08
09-22 00:39Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0497615042$10.06
09-21 01:23Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?SELL0.082$1.64
09-18 03:24Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
09-18 03:23Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?SELL0.003$1.57
09-17 03:04Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.084$7.51
09-17 03:00Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
09-12 04:03Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3213542256$28.40
09-12 04:01Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?SELL0.63$12.60
09-11 00:54Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1181047077$168.97
09-01 03:22Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3858336255$44.02
09-01 03:21Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.365189156$53.48
09-01 03:12Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.69$69.00