User983
0x5fd5fb75eb3508531a4e9cc28642fdf84cd4382c
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $101.7k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $38.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.140US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$247.72at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$210.00at 0.300Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
- +$52.00at 0.480Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
- +$40.00at 0.800US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.02853756 | $28.54 |
| 10-07 02:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.039964 | $39.96 |
| 09-22 01:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.08 |
| 09-22 00:39 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0497615042 | $10.06 |
| 09-21 01:23 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.64 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.57 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $7.51 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-12 04:03 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3213542256 | $28.40 |
| 09-12 04:01 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-11 00:54 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1181047077 | $168.97 |
| 09-01 03:22 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3858336255 | $44.02 |
| 09-01 03:21 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.365189156 | $53.48 |
| 09-01 03:12 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |