beata-monalisa
0x5fc788cd31bd484e9d873e3a77fbcfa6a023a9dd
- Realised P&L
- $-6.77
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$898.68at 0.331ChatGPT Outage by February 28?
- +$634.37at 0.454Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
- +$447.07at 0.245Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$158.79at 0.473Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
- +$90.09at 0.672ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:35 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3552427184 | $365.90 |
| 10-01 21:37 | Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker? | BUY | 0.98 | $61.74 |
| 10-01 21:26 | Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon? | BUY | 0.66 | $48.83 |
| 10-01 13:53 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.65 | $41.02 |
| 09-30 18:57 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.42 |
| 09-30 12:30 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 09-30 12:30 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 09-30 12:15 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $54.66 |
| 09-30 12:15 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 09-30 12:15 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $75.99 |
| 09-29 23:58 | No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 04-10 08:01 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5260076621 | $587.65 |
| 04-09 22:10 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5521476719 | $212.97 |
| 04-09 18:36 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $282.85 |
| 04-06 21:45 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.1k |