PolyBot

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Traders

beata-monalisa

0x5fc788cd31bd484e9d873e3a77fbcfa6a023a9dd

Realised P&L
$-6.77
Volume
$28.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · No change0.6660.875$875.00+$209.26
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? · No0.3550.315$324.45−$41.45
ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.6600.990$96.73+$32.24
Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon? · Yes0.6400.330$68.64−$64.50
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? · Yes0.3300.240$60.30−$22.61
ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.962$19.23+$3.83
Critical Discord Incident by October 31? · Yes0.2500.090$7.11−$12.63
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon? · No0.6800.355$7.10−$6.50
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon? · Yes0.2600.645$7.09+$4.24
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of December 2026? · Yes0.0800.016$3.20−$12.80
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.011$2.84−$43.42
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5520.009$2.45−$147.54
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? · Yes0.2500.005$1.52−$74.43
Will Choi-wan peak as a Strong typhoon? · Yes0.4800.034$0.77−$10.27
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · Hike 25 bps0.1200.125$0.63+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 11:35Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?BUY0.3552427184$365.90
10-01 21:37Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?BUY0.98$61.74
10-01 21:26Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?BUY0.66$48.83
10-01 13:53No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.65$41.02
09-30 18:57Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7$10.42
09-30 12:30No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.63$63.00
09-30 12:30No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.62$124.00
09-30 12:15No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.38$54.66
09-30 12:15No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.38$76.00
09-30 12:15No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.38$75.99
09-29 23:58No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.33$6.60
04-10 08:01Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5260076621$587.65
04-09 22:10Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.5521476719$212.97
04-09 18:36Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.22$282.85
04-06 21:45Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.35$2.1k