justApredictdog
0x5fc50816f1592dabeaf8a9a7d83ca94edce5610e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $1.84M
- Markets traded
- 4,028
- Open portfolio
- $107.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.83at 0.051Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$247.85at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$223.46at 0.018Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?
- +$214.59at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$162.15at 0.950Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 18:32 | Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8508 | $127.62 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.73345 | $14.67 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.4954 | $24.77 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 04-10 08:54 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 04-03 07:03 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 04-03 07:02 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.02510375 | $2.01 |
| 04-03 06:46 | Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.60 |
| 04-03 06:16 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.24 |
| 04-03 06:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 05:47 | Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.65 |
| 04-03 05:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.12 |
| 04-03 05:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.35 |
| 04-03 05:34 | Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.36 |
| 04-03 05:33 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.952 | $8.22 |