PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

justApredictdog

0x5fc50816f1592dabeaf8a9a7d83ca94edce5610e

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$1.84M
Markets traded
4,028
Open portfolio
$107.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,028
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 18:32Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?SELL0.8508$127.62
04-10 08:55Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.73345$14.67
04-10 08:55Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?SELL0.4954$24.77
04-10 08:55Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.72$36.00
04-10 08:54Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?SELL0.85$42.50
04-03 07:03Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?SELL0.06$1.20
04-03 07:02Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?SELL0.02510375$2.01
04-03 06:46Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.06$1.60
04-03 06:16Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?SELL0.062$1.24
04-03 06:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.05$5.00
04-03 05:47Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?SELL0.12$0.65
04-03 05:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.05$1.12
04-03 05:36Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.06$4.35
04-03 05:34Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?SELL0.057$0.36
04-03 05:33Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.952$8.22