0x5FC3a393B03a5574c597df072237469768649786-1762557697979
0x5fc3a393b03a5574c597df072237469768649786
- Realised P&L
- $-12.28
- Volume
- $727.84
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $16.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.39at 0.380US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$5.39at 0.327Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?
- +$1.41at 0.700Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
- +$1.39at 0.590Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?
- +$1.17at 0.810Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:23 | Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 16:22 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.34 |
| 10-19 06:39 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:39 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:39 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:34 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:33 | Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:29 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:29 | Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:26 | Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 13:52 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:51 | Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 13:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 13:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.509 | $4.23 |