0x5FAdA23a7c6535EDF82405FBA885Dbb500D2B78F-1775833885900
0x5fada23a7c6535edf82405fba885dbb500d2b78f
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $322.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.750 | $3.1k | +$125.00 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No | 0.893 | 0.874 | $2.3k | −$51.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.630Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?
- +$1.3kat 0.770Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$-0.60at 0.012Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- +$-649.79at 0.002Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 15:07 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.8690466558 | $500.00 |
| 10-21 11:13 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9064623698 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 13:08 | Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.0108144565 | $3.79 |
| 09-18 09:54 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $3.0k |
| 09-15 12:13 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9022388398 | $230.00 |
| 09-14 21:10 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9013995798 | $85.00 |
| 09-14 21:08 | Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.0086580087 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:44 | Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.0127693013 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 14:44 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9004959082 | $70.00 |
| 08-30 12:04 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9013394557 | $47.00 |
| 08-28 21:32 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9013144168 | $357.67 |
| 08-27 19:47 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9014244391 | $232.00 |
| 08-25 19:01 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.9002846633 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 23:22 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.8895755092 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 08:47 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.8907345782 | $100.00 |