mistoquente
0x5fa8113eb2047b9efae3f73a23361f67b14339c2
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $269.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,174
- Open portfolio
- $266.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,174
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$748.80at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 27?
- +$481.45at 0.118Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$385.60at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?
- +$384.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 24?
- +$372.19at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.0281666967 | $4.68 |
| 09-22 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.54 |
| 09-22 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2283413333 | $34.25 |
| 09-22 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.23 |
| 09-22 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.14273992 | $35.68 |
| 09-21 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.0237493833 | $2.41 |
| 09-21 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-20 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.40 |
| 09-20 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.24 |
| 09-20 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1581 | $31.62 |
| 09-20 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1543208 | $38.58 |
| 09-20 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-19 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1194005157 | $22.23 |
| 09-18 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |