PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mistoquente

0x5fa8113eb2047b9efae3f73a23361f67b14339c2

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$269.8k
Markets traded
1,174
Open portfolio
$266.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,174
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? · Yes0.0700.925$110.46+$102.10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 22? · Yes0.1430.342$85.50+$49.81
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 23? · Yes0.2280.255$38.25+$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22? · Yes0.0300.070$17.50+$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22? · Yes0.0250.021$15.16$2.58
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on September 22? · Yes0.0200.035$0.04+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 11? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 8? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$6.99
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 17? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on September 10? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.59
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 6? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 25? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 20? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 19:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22?BUY0.0281666967$4.68
09-22 19:31Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22?BUY0.02$2.54
09-22 19:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 23?BUY0.2283413333$34.25
09-22 18:49Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on September 22?BUY0.008$0.23
09-22 17:33Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 22?BUY0.14273992$35.68
09-21 15:20Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 21?BUY0.07$0.70
09-21 12:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.0237493833$2.41
09-21 01:09Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.08$0.80
09-20 22:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.049$0.40
09-20 22:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.048$0.24
09-20 22:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.1581$31.62
09-20 22:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.1543208$38.58
09-20 22:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.29$5.80
09-19 13:13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.1194005157$22.23
09-18 17:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18?BUY0.3$1.50