orangesushi
0x5fa10437fdf72899ca23d1351a7e4e6726b4b91b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $267.9k
- Markets traded
- 7,430
- Open portfolio
- $777.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,430
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.44at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?
- +$11.75at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?
- +$8.86at 0.970Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$5.08at 0.994Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$4.75at 0.947Meta (META) Up or Down on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.68 |
| 09-20 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999994 | $145.77 |
| 09-20 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999729 | $30.15 |
| 09-20 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999728 | $35.01 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999878 | $75.01 |
| 09-20 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999604 | $22.10 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.01 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999465 | $10.43 |
| 09-20 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999935 | $66.50 |
| 09-20 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999822 | $53.00 |
| 09-20 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.998999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $61.91 |
| 09-20 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.95 |