injectspk
0x5f9b83a90c58b80e345c5884ba177b84ee73a9aa
- Realised P&L
- $-59.42
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $22.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.465 | $22.94 | +$5.81 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.09at 0.243Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
- +$44.46at 0.407Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$25.41at 0.640Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$20.25at 0.509Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$14.49at 0.650Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:16 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5149999923 | $28.59 |
| 07-10 20:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9 | $29.50 |
| 07-10 14:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5224999868 | $14.95 |
| 07-10 14:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 14:45 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.121 | $10.54 |
| 07-06 22:57 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 07-03 14:56 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2102820809 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:15 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.97 |
| 06-26 18:27 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.3520208393 | $7.50 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 13:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.217 | $8.86 |
| 06-22 15:47 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 20:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2449999847 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 22:33 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 21:49 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1809999383 | $2.00 |