0x5f82d812ff98372347Ac9504A6474F033451463B-1771267953134
0x5f82d812ff98372347ac9504a6474f033451463b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.9k
- Volume
- $309.4k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $300.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.478Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
- +$999.92at 0.322Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
- +$763.01at 0.696Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$571.47at 0.411US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$543.31at 0.747Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6772908313 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 10-13 19:44 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $70.00 |
| 10-13 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 11:44 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999945 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $25.00 |