braveB
0x5f7680a4b985eea55979955b4c3d153208388e57
- Realised P&L
- $66.2k
- Volume
- $3.05M
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $19.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.375 | $19.06 | +$6.35 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.38 |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.48 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.98 |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.79 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.1kat 0.376Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
- +$11.1kat 0.249Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
- +$11.0kat 0.077Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$10.7kat 0.079Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
- +$10.0kat 0.131Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 17:14 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.51 |
| 06-15 10:44 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $17.60 |
| 06-15 08:23 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $19.98 |
| 06-14 21:58 | Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.22 | $12.54 |
| 06-14 21:49 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.9 | $30.60 |
| 06-14 21:30 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.01 |
| 06-14 21:28 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.77 | $43.89 |
| 06-14 19:50 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $9.38 |
| 06-14 19:48 | Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $13.11 |
| 06-14 17:28 | Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $53.62 |
| 06-14 15:52 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $2.85 |
| 06-14 15:48 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.43 |
| 06-14 15:43 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $16.17 |
| 04-23 13:34 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BUY | 0.2965613383 | $95.73 |
| 04-23 13:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $95.73 |