MilliGuru
0x5f7418bce4a29e8cfad6985935a281748fa8a2ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $123.3k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $42.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.91at 0.740Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
- +$72.42at 0.782Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$53.40at 0.251Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$53.25at 0.002Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$49.02at 0.509Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999934 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 07:04 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in September? | BUY | 0.942999994 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 07:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.9609997473 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9569998438 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8229999807 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 09:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.809999998 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 09:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 21? | SELL | 0.8758573596 | $5.77 |
| 09-21 09:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9559999814 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 06:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.929999938 | $9.00 |
| 09-18 07:15 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 04:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.8899999479 | $7.00 |