0x5f6f7c363106a9ea4c68a5f4354b59ce4da4c698
0x5f6f7c363106a9ea4c68a5f4354b59ce4da4c698
- Realised P&L
- $-9.00
- Volume
- $199.35
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.615 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.35at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.502Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 01:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 02:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 11:05 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 09:45 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 01:40 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 17:37 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2909999067 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 08:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 22:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |