tarklis
0x5f65bcfff92e6114342b767782ab96d84e0161a9
- Realised P&L
- $-45.75
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $69.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.65at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?
- +$8.54at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?
- +$8.31at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?
- +$7.41at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?
- +$7.10at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.00 |
| 09-18 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 09-16 16:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 09-16 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $101.05 |
| 09-15 07:03 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969499 | $99.69 |
| 09-15 07:01 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.60 |
| 09-14 15:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.436 | $0.55 |
| 09-14 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |