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0x5f612351a9E46aFBE3F164473a7D77A69Ec9840a-1764952035378

0x5f612351a9e46afbe3f164473a7d77a69ec9840a

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$213.1k
Markets traded
1,929
Open portfolio
$4.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,929
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.12$2.40
08-04 16:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.001$0.51
08-04 15:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4?SELL0.2722361181$5.44
08-04 13:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.063$1.26
08-04 13:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.085$2.55
08-04 12:29Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.3$4.50
08-04 12:20Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.1$1.40
08-04 12:13Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.06$1.02
08-04 11:53Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.18$1.26
08-04 11:22Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.91$7.28
08-04 11:19Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.78$4.68
08-04 11:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.16$1.12
08-04 11:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.16$1.12
08-04 11:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.15$1.05
08-04 11:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.04$1.08
Trader 0x5f612351a9E46aFBE3F164473a7D77A69Ec9840a-1764952035378 · PolyBot