0x5f612351a9E46aFBE3F164473a7D77A69Ec9840a-1764952035378
0x5f612351a9e46afbe3f164473a7d77a69ec9840a
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $268.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,853
- Open portfolio
- $33.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,853
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.12at 0.395Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?
- +$101.67at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$91.70at 0.083Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$75.71at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 19?
- +$67.74at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 10-04 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.57 |
| 10-04 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.1205074627 | $2.42 |
| 10-04 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.68 |
| 10-04 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.54 |
| 10-04 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 10-04 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-04 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.9076717812 | $27.21 |
| 10-04 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.0060684137 | $0.30 |
| 10-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.17 |
| 10-04 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.598 | $5.98 |
| 10-04 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 10-04 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.02 |
| 10-04 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.203 | $2.00 |