0x5f612351a9E46aFBE3F164473a7D77A69Ec9840a-1764952035378
0x5f612351a9e46afbe3f164473a7d77a69ec9840a
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $213.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,929
- Open portfolio
- $4.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,929
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.92at 0.383Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?
- +$102.01at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$91.70at 0.083Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$76.58at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 19?
- +$67.80at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2722361181 | $5.44 |
| 08-04 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.085 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 08-04 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.08 |