0x5F5c74319Fb8dbEa83B34Fd68E73dEef0C689090-1771168033010
0x5f5c74319fb8dbea83b34fd68e73deef0c689090
- Realised P&L
- $0.98
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $16.97 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.964Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.14at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 22?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.97 |
| 08-10 08:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-03 03:56 | Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.97 |
| 06-23 06:41 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 05-19 07:17 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 05-13 03:45 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.72 |
| 04-25 03:35 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-23 07:42 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.60 |
| 04-22 08:33 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-21 07:43 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-20 05:51 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |