weini888
0x5f436db9aac780f167fb0276c75c760e2b240df2
- Realised P&L
- $-158.43
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $95.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.199 | $95.02 | −$1.95 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · Gen.G | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.82at 0.370Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$9.50at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$8.04at 0.850Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$7.97at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$3.80at 0.956Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 00:49 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $22.25 |
| 07-06 12:38 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.0k |
| 07-03 02:52 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.799374987 | $383.69 |
| 07-03 02:32 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.40 |
| 07-03 02:32 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.40 |
| 07-03 02:32 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $29.60 |
| 07-03 02:14 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $53.28 |
| 07-03 02:08 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 07-03 01:57 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 07-03 01:56 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $90.40 |
| 07-03 01:55 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $176.00 |
| 07-03 01:55 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.48 |
| 07-03 01:42 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.26 |
| 03-16 08:17 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.985 | $12.41 |
| 03-06 01:17 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.036 | $3.90 |